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Finland, Denmark or Israel: who Armenian viewers see as the winner of Eurovision 2026 after the semi-finals

10:18, May 16

Following the completion of the two Eurovision 2026 semi-finals, the contest is now approaching its final, and unfortunately for Armenia, the season ended earlier than many expected: the country’s representative, Simon, failed to qualify for the final. However, interest among Armenian audiences in the competition has not diminished. A survey conducted among viewers in Armenia shows that the public has not only formed its own favourites, but also developed a fairly clear understanding of what actually leads a country to victory in this controversial music contest today.

The demographic data from the survey indicates that interest in the competition is particularly high among younger audiences. The vast majority of respondents were young people: 58% of those surveyed were aged 18–25, while 20% belonged to the 25–35 age group. Teenagers were also strongly represented, with 18% of participants under the age of 18. Older age groups — 35–50 and over 50 — were in the minority, each accounting for only 1%.

The reliability of the survey appears relatively high, as it involved an audience well familiar with the contest. Almost 100% of respondents, with the exception of one participant, stated that they watch Eurovision every year, meaning their predictions are based on long-term viewing experience.

Participants also clearly indicated what, in their view, is required to win today. Only 1% considered vocals alone to be the key factor, while another 10% believed success depends solely on either staging or performer energy. However, an overwhelming majority — 78% — were convinced that victory today is only possible through a combination of several elements: strong vocals, high-quality staging, and the artist’s charisma.

Against the backdrop of the already completed semi-finals, the preferences of Armenian viewers regarding a potential Eurovision 2026 winner are particularly notable. The clear favourite of the survey was Finland, represented by violinist Linda Lampenius and singer Pete Parkkonen with the song “Liekinheitin” — this entry received 53.45% of the vote. Denmark followed at a considerable distance with 8.62%, while Israel rounded out the top three with 6.90%. Further down the list were Romania with 5.17%, France and Bulgaria with 3.45% each, and Croatia, Armenia and Albania with 1.72% each. Meanwhile, nearly 14% of respondents admitted they were still undecided, despite the already established list of finalists.

A separate question addressed voting during the show itself: 58% of respondents said they plan to vote in the contest final.

Particular attention in the survey was also given to Armenia’s representative, Simon. Even before the semi-finals, expectations for his result were relatively modest: the largest group of respondents — 28% — predicted that Armenia would place between 16th and 20th. Another 24% believed the country would not qualify from the semi-final at all. 22% expected a result in the 11th–15th range. The remaining responses were lower: 12% predicted 21st–25th places, 8% believed Armenia could reach the top ten, and only 6% considered a top-five finish possible.

Interestingly, the expected voting results differ noticeably from predictions about the overall winner. In the public vote simulation, first place was shared by Bulgaria and Finland with 15.56% each, followed by France with 11.11%. Denmark and Australia followed with 8.89% each, while Albania and Cyprus received 6.67% each. Romania, Israel and Armenia each received 4.44%. The list was closed by Serbia, Italy, Belgium, Germany, Sweden, the Czech Republic, Switzerland and Moldova, each receiving 2.22%.

With only hours remaining until the Eurovision 2026 final, and despite an already established group of favourites, the contest continues to preserve the main quality that keeps millions of viewers watching: absolute unpredictability and drama. Now all that remains is to wait for the final and see how closely the predictions of Armenian audiences match Europe’s final choice.


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